Playing the Percentages: Red Sox' chances
Lou Merloni plays the percentages with some of the major story lines for the Red Sox in 2012
Machine Generated Transcript
I'm out playing the percentages who better to do that without a man who knows numbers for a major -- are Red Sox analysts he had been. Loney -- what percentage on a variety of Sox related topics of Winstar with the -- the percentage this team actually makes the playoffs. The problem here is -- -- some of these guys coming back and -- a lot of ifs there and I put a lot of thought into this I don't go to the numbers here and that's why gave them 63%. Chance of going the post season. Gotta get it does rely on Bailey coming back and Ellsbury coming back to Crawford going back and being healthy. Josh Beckett is another key component of their police I think it above the rosters at the bit about the fact that we board games out wildcard spot. I've put it 63 because the odds of all that's coming back. Aren't too good always -- -- to -- it -- totally forgot about and it fell off the radar from Arlington not the best time to Kevin Youkilis pretty clear he would wouldn't by the change of scenery. What the percentage of the season with the Sox a -- from that. I would give a little bit of chance 3% felt that gray areas there is that this guy's failure to month I'm sorry it. It's not a definite all right because -- what happens if something happens we'll -- a Brooks what happens if something happens Adrian Gonzales in the process in the meantime that you're trying to deal this guy. So that's pretty much the only scenario I can -- Kevin Youkilis is here. Feel a month from now that there's an injury and all of a sudden this bottle with a that you need this guy. Josh Beckett -- on the fifteen day disabled list assuming he comes off the when he supposed to do. What's the percentage he makes all of his remaining star. Again a lot of thought went through this thing here again so we go 12% Josh Beckett makes all of his starts listen I don't like the fact. That we're talking about pain and it is flat out. Don't like the fact valuable -- in the shoulder. For me it's all one area that's not good for starting pitcher when he does come back. Can you go up there and give you what twice starts at eighteen starts Iraq find that hard to believe that he's not gonna miss one more. Start the resilient factor in the potential to -- -- -- him. Because don't forget that's also on his -- -- was when it was apparently he wanted that. Daniel Bard has battled also opens up in the -- in his last couple out of what he's done it as a reliever and back on Sunday. Seventh and eighth innings coming out of the pen percentage at -- he comes back to Boston as a reliever. I think he's a reliever I think you gotta get the good pitcher back the great pitcher back in this team that's what he is he's a reliever right now to me I -- in 95% he comes back. We've won a leave little wiggle room is the same thing is you blitz you never know what happens. You never know that could be you know some urgency somebody goes down. Great he's only throwing two weddings he's not that far removed from being a starter I think if you end up quick if needed go to -- starters that they really need it. Maloney planned percentages could stop them. Over at that.