McAdam at the GM Meetings: Does it make sense to trade Papelbon?

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McAdam at the GM Meetings: Does it make sense to trade Papelbon?

By Sean McAdam
CSNNE.com

LAKE BUENA VISTA, Fla. -- Increasingly, you hear Jonathan Papelbon as a name the Red Sox would be willing to deal as the GM Meetings swing into their first full day.

But how much sense does that make?

First, Papelbon is coming off, inarguably, his worst season since becoming the team's full-time closer in 2006, posting a career-high 3.90 ERA and blowing a career-high eight saves. His trade value, in that sense, has never been lower.

Second, Papelbon is arbitration eligible and stands to make somewhere between 11 million-12 million for 2011. That would make him the third-highest paid closer in the big leagues behind only Mariano Rivera -- a free agent who will undoubtedly come close to the 15 million he was paid in 2010 -- and Francisco Rodriguez, who will make 11.5 million with the New York Mets.

Finally, there's the matter of Papelbon intent on filing for free agency after 2011 in his quest to become the new salary standard-bearer for closers. (Whether he becomes that will be determined by how well he bounced back next season).

So, any team trading for Papelbon will be paying him an enormous amount after his worst season, knowing that there is little to deter him from going onto the market next November.

Does that sound like a logical plan?

Conjecture is that if the Sox moved Papelbon, they could replace him with free agent closer Rafael Soriano, who was brilliant for Tampa Bay last season. But Soriano will be looking for a multiyear deal -- think at least three years, at least 10-12 million per season -- and the Sox have had an aversion to committing themselves long-term to relievers, even ones as good as Soriano.

Factor in that Soriano is about as old as Papelbon and has been nowhere near as durable and the risks are greater.

About the only scenario where moving Papelbon makes any sense is if the Sox are planning to non-tender him because of the money he stands to make in his final year of arbitration eligibility. The Sox have until Dec. 2 to tender contracts to players not under multi-year deals.

Non-tendering Papelbon would make him a free agent a year early, with the Sox getting nothing in return -- not even a draft pick in compensation.

Sean McAdam can be reached at smcadam@comcastsportsnet.com. Follow Sean on Twitter at http:twitter.comsean_mcadam

Red Sox outfield "Win, Dance, Repeat" celebration finds its way on MLB the Show 17

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Red Sox outfield "Win, Dance, Repeat" celebration finds its way on MLB the Show 17

Mooke Betts, Jackie Bradley Jr. and a mix of Andrew Benintendi, Brock Holt, Blake Swihart and Chris Young brought postgame celebrations to a new level last season.

Most Sox fans are familiar with the outfield victory "Win, Dance, Repeat" where the trio would dance and pretend to photograph the game's best player between them. The celebration ended with a pose at first, but as seen the MLB the Show 17's freshly released trailer, a few more wrinkes were added in.

In fact, here's a taste of the celebrations and what else to expect from Playstation's 2017 MLB game:

Report: Red Sox DH target Beltran agrees to 1-year deal with Astros

Report: Red Sox DH target Beltran agrees to 1-year deal with Astros

Carlos Beltran, the 39-year-old switch hitter who was a potential target of the Red Sox as a DH, agreed to a free-agent deal with the Houston Astros, ESPN's Buster Olney reported.

FOXSports.com's Ken Rosenthal reports that it's a one-year, $16 million deal. 

Beltran played for the Astros in 2004. He was dealt from the New York Yankees to the Texas Rangers at the July 31 trading deadline last season. He totaled 35 homers, 101 RBI and hit .295 in 2016. 

The Red Sox, looking to fill the void left by David Ortiz's retirement, will be looking for a DH at the Winter Meetings that begin next week. One possibility is the return of Mike Napoli, who played for the A.L. champion Cleveland Indians last season.

More on the Winter Meetings here from CSN Red Sox Insider Sean McAdam.