Five keys for the Red Sox' second half

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Five keys for the Red Sox' second half

By Sean McAdam
CSNNE.com Red Sox Insider Follow @sean_mcadam
ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. - Thanks to a six-game winning streak -- and 10 wins in their last 11 -- the Red Sox went into the All-Star break in first place in the American League East, owners of the second-best record in all of baseball.

If they hope to stay atop the division, some things will have to break right for them in the second half.

Here are five of the second-half keys as the season resumes Friday night against the Tampa Bay Rays.

1) Improved health for the starting rotation.

This is listed as the top priority here; it could also be the second, third and fourth priorities. It's that significant.

Simply put, the Red Sox need their Big Three of Josh Beckett, Jon Lester and Clay Buchholz to be healthier in the second half than they were in the first.

As the second half begins, Lester and Buchholz are on the DL and Beckett hyper-extneded his knee in his last start, causing him to cut short a scheduled appearance in the All-Star Game.

Beckett is on track to pitch Sunday, his scheduled return to the mound. Lester, meanwhile, will probably be ready to start when the Red Sox return from their six-game road trip, as his pulled lat muscle isn't expected to linger.

Buchholz, though, is another matter. He's been bothered by lower back spasms for more than a month and the fact that they continue to present a problem has to be more than somewhat concerning.

He was examined by a back specialist before the break and tests confirmed that there was nothing structurally wrong with the back. A cortisone shot also helped with some discomfort.

The Sox have been fortunate that their depth starters (Tim Wakefield, Alfredo Aceves, Andrew Miller and Kyle Weiland) have performed as well as they have - the Sox are 13-7 in their 20 games combined.

But it's probably asking for too much for that to continue througout the second half. Worse, if any of the Big Three go down with a more serious injury, there's no starter available on the trade market good enough to crack the first three spots in the rotation.

2) Improvement out of right field.

In terms of OPS (on-base percentage plus slugging), the Red Sox were 29th out of 30 for right-field production.

J.D. Drew had 10 extra-base hits in the first half and went better than 100 plate appearances in between extra-base hits.

Mike Cameron was woeful while here and was subsequently dealt away. Darnell McDonald hasn't been much better.

On one hand, the subpar output from their right fielders hasn't hurt the Sox much. The Sox went into the break leading the majors in runs scored, hits, doubles, extra-base hits, RBIs, walks, total bases, average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

On the other hand, it would take some of the load off Adrian Gonzalez, David Ortiz and Kevin Youkilis if Drew -- or anyone playing right field -- contributed something.

The hope, stated repeatedly by Terry Francona, that Drew will eventually come around and enjoy a hot streak may be against all logic. If Drew doesn't start offering something, don't be surprised to see more of Josh Reddick in right.

3) Contributions from more bullpen arms.

Daniel Bard has been superb and deserved a spot on the All-Star team. He hasn't allowed a run since May and has allowed just 10 baserunners in his last 19 13 innings.

But if Bard is going to be the same factor in October, the Sox have to manage his workload in the second half.

For that to happen, the Sox need improvement from both Bobby Jenks and Dan Wheeler.

The former has already spent two stints on the disabled list and has delivered little for someone whom the Sox viewed as a co-setup weapon at the start of the season.

If Jenks doesn't give the Sox more in the next 2 12 weeks, they'll be forced to seek (expensive) help on the trade market.

Wheeler was almost a complete non-factor for the first 2 12 months, though he's been far better of late. In his last 11 appearances, Wheeler has a 1.50 ERA, though it should be pointed out that many of those outings came while the Red Sox were either way behind or safely ahead.

4) The return of Jed Lowrie

Marco Scutaro has been steady in Lowrie's absence, but far from spectacular. He has just 10 extra-base hits in 170 at-bats and sports a .354 slugging percentage.

Lowrie, when healthy, was belting doubles and offering the occasional long ball.

Without Lowrie, the options at short are untested. Drew Sutton is a capable journeyman and could play there for short stretches.

Yamiaco Navarro, whose best position appears to be third base, could play short, too, though not as reliably.

That puts the onus on Lowrie to get healthy and provide both some middle-infield pop and depth at a position where the Sox are lacking -- at least in terms of experienced options.

5) A look at the real Carl Crawford.

The first three months were, to put it mildly, disappointing. It took until May for Crawford to get his average over the .200 mark.

Sure, there were a handful of highlights, including some walkoff hits from Crawford. But for a player with as many tools as Crawford, he seemed to contribute little.

His defense, thought to be a major part of his game, was merely slightly above-average. In bigger ballparks, away from Fenway, Crawford's athleticism was supposed to take away doubles in the gap, but that happened rarely.

Likewise, his impact on the bases has yet to be felt. Put aside the meager stolen base total (just 8 in 12 tries) as a function of his inability to get on base more and the fact that he was hitting in the bottom third of the order much of the time.

But Crawford didn't seem to put much pressure on the opposing team. He wasn't a distraction, he didn't go first-to-third much and he didn't help much in manufacturing runs when he did get on base.

If the Sox are maximize their full potential -- in the field, at the plate, and on the bases -- they need much more from Crawford going forward.

Sean McAdam can be reached at smcadam@comcastsportsnet.com. Follow Sean on Twitter at http:twitter.comsean_mcadam.

Are Red Sox entering spring training with fewer questions than ever?

Are Red Sox entering spring training with fewer questions than ever?

BOSTON -- Every year it seems like there are major issues or question marks to start spring training where the answers are up in the air.

In 2015, the Red Sox lacked an ace, had Hanley Ramirez moving to left field and Pablo Sandoval coming to town.

In 2016, Ramirez was moving back to the infield, but at a new position, and his bat was in question. Sandoval was coming off a year where he couldn’t hit his weight (he hit .245 and he last weighed in at 255 pounds). How would the starting rotation look after David Price?

This year, there seem to be three questions, but in a way, they’ve already been answered.

How will the Red Sox make up for David Ortiz’s absence?

Well, for one, the Red Sox have three Cy Young-caliber starting pitchers (Price, Chris Sale and Rick Porcello) in their rotation.

And two, Hanley Ramirez is coming off a career year with his highest career output in RBI (111) and second-highest home run total (30). And while Mitch Moreland isn’t the greatest hitter, he’s good for 20 or more home runs. Plus, it seems he’s holding a spot for a certain Red Sox prospect who’s bouncing back well from an injury.

 

Will Sandoval earn the starting third base job back?

The weight loss is a good sign, not only for the physical reasons, but it shows he’s mentally committed to being better.

However, that doesn’t guarantee he gets his job back.

“I’m not going to say [third base] resolved itself,” John Farrell told CSNNE.com, “but you know Panda’s done a very good job of committing to get himself in better shape and we’re looking forward to seeing that play to in spring training.”

Even if Panda can’t put it all together, Farrell told reporters before Thursday’s BBWAA dinner, both Brock Holt and Josh Rutledge would be competing for the job as well.

Holt as plan B -- in the infield? Who wouldn’t take that?

Who’s going to start at catcher?

Sandy Leon, Christian Vazquez and Blake Swihart each have their pros an cons.

Leon did it all last year, but went from hitting .383 in his first 39 games to .242 in his last 39.

Vazquez has Ivan Rodriguez-esque abilities behind the plate, but couldn’t keep the staff under control last year and cannot hit.

Swihart, who turns 25 April 3, is the youngest of the three, has the most potential at the plate, but is far and away the worst of the three defensively at the most important defensive position -- excluding pitcher -- on the field.

They all have their drawbacks, but they’ve all shown at some point why they can be the Red Sox starting catcher in the present and future.

Everywhere else, the Red Sox seem to be in a comfortable position as pitchers and catchers reporting to camp draws ever nearer.

“I think the fact that we’ve got veteran players that have done a great job in staying healthy [and] young players that are getting more establishing in their return, we’re in a pretty good place in terms of the overall status of our position player group,” Farrell told CSNNE.com.

And it seems some players are confident in the team’s options as they ready for camp.

“We’re looking good in a lot of areas,” shortstop Xander Bogaerts told CSNNE.com. “Especially the pitching staff, [since] we just got Chris Sale one of the best in the game.”

“Pablo’s definitely going to bounce back, especially with the weight he’s lost."

Francona, Epstein receive grand ovations at BBWAA dinner

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Francona, Epstein receive grand ovations at BBWAA dinner

BOSTON -- “I didn’t feel that love after I made a pitching change in the sixth inning,” Terry Francona said after a 45-second standing ovation from Boston fans upon receiving the MLB Manager of the Year award from the BBWAA Thursday.

It’s without question the love for Francona runs deep in the city. Why wouldn’t it? He was the leader in breaking the 86-year old curse, and wound up winning another World Series title for Boston three years later.

Actually, he was more of a co-leader, working alongside the same person who won the MLB Executive of the Year honors from the BBWAA for 2016.

Theo Epstein -- who received an ovation 17 seconds shorter than Francona, but who’s counting -- reminisced about the Red Sox ownership group that took a chance on a young kid who wasn’t necessarily the ideal candidate to take over as GM of a team, but now that’s helped him build the Chicago Cubs into a winning franchise and establish a great working environment.

This October marks 13 years since the ’04 championship, 10 years since ’07 and six years since the pair left Boston. Without question they’ve left their mark on the city and forever changed Red Sox baseball.

And while the fans showed their undying gratitude for Francona with an ovation almost as long as his acceptance speech, the Indians manager recognized the favor the current Red Sox brass has done for him.

“I’d like to thank Dave Dombrowski and the Red Sox for getting Chris Sale the hell out of the Central Division,” Francona said.