Looking ahead: Denver already favored over Patriots

Looking ahead: Denver already favored over Patriots
November 18, 2013, 1:00 pm
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The Patriots still have some business to take care of before they can turn their attention to next Sunday night's matchup against the Broncos, but Vegas doesn’t have to worry about that.

After their Sunday night win over the Chiefs, Denver was pegged as a 2 1/2-point favorite for next Sunday night’s game at Gillette.

A number of factors will impact the line as the week goes by. How New England does on Monday night, injuries, where the early money goes . . . it will all affect the spread in the days ahead.

One injury already looms as a spread-impacter. Wes Welker has a concussion and will have to pass neurological tests before he’s cleared to play Sunday.

Imagine the irony if Welker doesn’t play and Danny Amendola does.

Regardless, the fact the Patriots are home dogs is extremely rare. The last time they got points at home was November 7, 2005 against the Colts.

The Patriots are underdogs for Monday night’s game as well. The spread hovers around 1.

The Patriots have only been underdogs 15 times since 2005. They covered 12 of the 15 spreads.

Since the start of the 2001 season, the Patriots have been underdogs in back-to-back regular-season games just twice. In 2001, they were getting 1 from the Saints at Foxboro Stadium and 3 from the Jets in back-to-back weeks. In 2006, they were getting 3 and 3 1/2 from the Jaguars and Titans on the road in the season’s final two weeks. New England covered all those spreads.