Just two No.1 seeds have won a Super Bowl since 2003: the 2004 Patriots and 2010 Saints.
Half of the Super Bowl winners came from Wild Card weekend, half came from first round bye. Looking at that, there doesn't appear to be an advantage, but the guys on Sports Tonight still want a top two seed.
"More important for them to be No. 2 vs. a No. 3 than No. 1 vs. a No. 2," Mike Felger said.
What Felger is saying that a bye either one is huge, not so much the No. 1 seed.
But the Boston Herald's Steve Buckley says that it's the No. 1 seed that Bill Belichick and the Patriots are after.
"I was looking at that same chart 20 minutes in the news room. I don't care what it says, I don't care what the numbers say, and you're not supposed to do that. I'm fairly confident that Belichick is ticketing a course to get them the No. 1 seed. I just think it's an edge there's that old thing, you give Bill Belichick an extra week to get ready for a game, which is why the first round bye is important. And I just think he would rather have his team on his court, if you will, then to fly to Houston."
Check out the video for much more from Felger, Buckley, Gary Tanguay, and former Patriot great Troy Brown.