Alphabet NFL Preview: Week 11

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Alphabet NFL Preview: Week 11

Another week of football. Another Alphabet Preview.

I think there's a pattern here.

A is for ANONYMOUS
Earlier this week, an anonymous member of Rex Ryans Fun Bus told the Daily News that Tim Tebow will be the Jets starting quarterback because hes terrible. And after that its just been a blur. Total chaos. One giant green streak in the underpants of the Jets franchise, with more ins, outs and contradictions than a full season of Homeland and the Benghazi scandal combined.

One thing we know for sure: Rex is NOT happy about having a mole in his locker room.

"If you're not going to put your name to it, I think that's about as cowardly of a thing there is," Ryan said.

Before adding, At the very least, your voice should be on camera in the background so that everyone can basically figure it out.

Anyway, when the game starts on Sunday, expect Mark Sanchez to prove that he doesnt need anonymous teammates for the world to realize that hes terrible. Last week, he was silenced by his former college coach (Pete Carroll) and this week, you know that former Jetscurrent Rams OC Brian Schottenheimer has provided Jeff Fisher with plenty of insight into shutting down the Sanchize.

The Rams are favored by 3.5 points, but Im on record saying theyll win by 13.

B is for BIG BEN

Theres always an instinct to downplay Ben Roethlisbergers injuries. I say that under the obvious admission that Roethlisbergers tougher than I am, but lets be honest, hes the king of being near death on Friday, and then running around on Sunday like a juiced up rhino, while Jim Nantz and Chris Berman climax over the grittiness and gamesmanship of the one and only (sigh) Ben.

My point: Despite all the drama surrounding his latest injury that theres a potentially life-threatening rib issue and a shoulder separation so rare that there haven't been any documented cases since 1998 Roethlisberger will be back before you know it; playing through the pain and basking in the glow of Nantz and Bermans verbal foreplay.

HOWEVER, and more importantly, Roethlisberger wont be on the field this Sunday, as the Steelers host the Ravens in the SRO AFC Game of the Week. With a win, Pittsburgh will improve to 7-3 and move into a first place tie with Baltimore, but heres the problem:

Theyve never beaten the Ravens without Roethlisberger theyre 0-4 lifetime, as opposed to 9-5 with Big Ben under center. And with Baltimore riding high off last Sundays blow out over the Raiders, its not likely that well see the Steelers buck the trend.

(Back-up Byron Leftwich does have one career victory over Baltimore. Unfortunately, it was so long ago that Deion Sanders still played for the Ravens.)

ESPNs Rick Reilly was the first to report that Deion Sanders formerly played for the Ravens.

C is for CAPTAIN ROBERT
Mike Shanahan might have thrown in the towel after Washingtons Week 9 loss to the Panthers, but Robert Griffin III continues to provide Redskins fans with inspiration for the future.

This week, his teammates voted to name RGIII a captain, effective immediately.

D'Angelo Hall was voted "Most Likely to Assault a Fan."

D is for DOUBLE DIGITS

Coming into this season, the Texans had been favored by 10 or more points only three times in their 10-year history.

(If youre interested, those three times were:

1. Last year, against the Browns (-10.5). The Texans won by 18.

2. In 2009, against the eventual 1-15 Rams (-14). The Texans won by three.

3. In 2008, against the winless Lions (-11). The Texans won by seven.)

As an indicator of how far Houston has come, this Sunday marks the fourth time THIS SEASON that theyll enter an afternoon as double-digit favorites, and their 15-point spread against the Jaguars is the widest in franchise history.

Speaking of franchise marks, Jacksonvilles at risk of tying a team record with seven straight losses. No doubt they will, and by more than 15 points.

I hope Blaine Gabbert enjoys his final few days with that pretty little mustache, because its going to mounted in JJ Watts locker by halftime.

(P.S. I got all that point spread info from Covers.com)

E is for ENDURING DOMINATION

When we last left the Broncos and Chargers, Peyton Manning (with some help from Philip Rivers) was ripping off 35 unanswered points in a historic comeback win. And to this point, that game has set the trajectory for each team's season.

The Broncos havent lost since, and have quickly established themselves as a legitimate and increasingly terrifying AFC contender. Honestly, wheres their weakness? Not to mention, after they're done with San Diego, the Broncos have a ridiculously easy schedule down the stretch, with four of their six remaining game coming against the Raiders, Browns and the Chiefs (x2).

Meanwhile, the Chargers are 1-2 since the collapse, and they havent exactly been up against the stiffest competition at Cleveland (L), Kansas City (W) and at Tampa (L). If theyd held on against the Broncos, San Diego wouldve been 4-2 with a ton of momentum heading into their bye week. In reality, their 4-5, and need a win (in Denver, against the hottest team in the NFL) to hold onto any already-unrealistic hope of making the playoffs.

I don't know about you, but I smell another Norv Turner extension.

F is for FORTIFIED

Heres one reason the Broncos and Texans have been so successful: They protect the quarterback.

In fact, through 10 weeks, no team has allowed fewer sacks than Denver and Houston, whove only given up 11 each. On that note, the Chargers rank 30th in the NFL with only 14 sacks. The Jaguars rank dead last with only 10. Good news for Manning and Matt Schaub.

Ill take Two Quarterbacks Who Wont Be Waking Up On Monday With A Concussion for 200, Alex?

G is for GROUNDED

Weve all spent the last week (and the better part of the last month) obsessing over Andrew Luck. How great he is . . . what a star hes going to be . . . whether or not he's actually a cyborg . . . But just for fun, lets say he comes into New England on Sunday and lays an egg. I mean, hes just awful. He makes the worst secondary in the free world look the 2006 Ravens.

Seems unlikely. But its no more unlikely than what happened last Sunday in New Orleans where Michael Turner racked up 15 yards on 13 carries against the Saints defense. The same Saints defense that, even with Turners no show, is allowing 162 yards a game on the ground and is on pace to give up more rushing yards than any team in NFL history.

So far this season, the Falcons rank 26th in team rushing yards, and only five teams have a worse yards per carry average. Obviously, with a passing attack like Atlantas, a questionable ground game isnt the end of the world. But if youre looking for holes in the Falcons armor, you can probably start somewhere inside Turner's creamy hamstrings.

H is for HELP IS ON THE WAY

Did you know that this is the first time in Giants history that theyve gone into the bye week on a two-game losing streak?

Probably not, because I just made it up. But in reality, the Giants have lost two in a row, and it doesnt get any easier after the break. Next week, they host the Packers. Then theyre on the road for an emotional road game in Washington. In Week 14, they host the surging Saints before heading out for back-to-back road games in Atlanta and Baltimore.

But the good news for New York fans is that help may be on the way: The Giants worked out Joseph Addai this week!

Next week: Rodney Hampton.

I is for INSULT TO INJURY

Jay Cutler and Alex Smith were two of 35 starting quarterbacks to suffer a concussion last Sunday, and both are still questionable for Monday's Main Event: Bears at 49ers. A game of ridiculous NFC proportions.

At this point, Smith appears more likely to play, but if Roger Goodell really wants to take a stand for player safety, hell rule them both ineligible.

Honestly, can you imagine a more dangerous situation for a post-concussed quarterback than a prime time, late season, playoff-implicating game between the 49ers and Bears defenses? You might as well drop a cinder block on their heads.

(UPDATE: Cutler's been ruled out. Say a prayer for Jason Campbell.)

J is for JUST A REMINDER

That passing yards are just about the most overrated statistic in football. Theyre the RBI and the assist all wrapped into one. Through 10 weeks, three of the top five (and four of the top 6) passing teams in the NFL have a losing record.

Individually, Matthew Stafford has generally been one of the most disappointing and pathetic quarterbacks in the league, but hes still the NFLs fourth-leading passer. Even more revealing, Carson Palmer ranks third.

Expect Stafford and Palmer to light it up again on Sunday, as the Lions take on the Charles-Woodson-less Packers and the Raiders host the Saints. Also, expect them both to lose.

K is for KICKER CAROUSEL

Billy Cundiffs NFL tour continued this week with a workout in Houston, leaving the rest of the world with one very important question: Why arent there more good kickers?

Over the last two years, Cundiff has established himself as easily the least reliable kicker in football. Regardless of how well he might work out, hes literally the last guy a team like the Texans should ever turn to in a late-season jam. Yet everyones still interested. Someone in the Texans organization actually said the words: You know, it might be worth taking a look at Cundiff. And do you know who else the Texans worked out this week? Olindo Mare. Who was awful in Carolina last year, has never been clutch and turns 40 next year.

Is there really no one else in the world who knows how to kick a football?

I swear: If I have a son, Ill let him play any sport he wants. I wont restrict him in the slightest. But starting at five years old, him and I are spending at least two hours a week practicing field goals.

One day, an 85-year-old Chris Berman will nickname him Rich Levine La Vida Loca Jr.

L is for LAYING THE GROUND WORK

Mike Holmgren is effectively done with the Browns. Jerry Jones is effectively in the market for a new head coach. Mike Holmgren and the Cowboys would make a lot of sense.

And while Holmgren has denied having interest in the job, he's conveniently making the trip down to Dallas for this week's game.

Hmm . . . I smell a walrus here.

And that's just about the only interesting storyline surrounding Sunday's BrownsCowboys game. Unless you have Trent Richardson on your fantasy team or a fetish for really awkward domestic abuse cases.

M is for MOVING ON?
It's also been rumored that Sean Payton could be the next coach in Dallas. Like Holmgren, Payton initially denied any interested, but this week, the New Orleans Times Picayune reported that Payton is likely to "keep his options open" in regards to next year.

In related news, Tom Benson has petitioned the Commissioner's Office to extend Payton's suspension to two years.

N is for NO. 1 TO NOWHERE
This has been one of the quietest seasons of Larry Fitgeralds career, and as an NFL fan, that kind of sucks. After all, hes one of the most exciting players in the league. Its not as much fun when Fitzgerald doesnt exist.

But heres the amazing thing about Fitzgerald: Even in this "down year", hes still on pace for more than 90 catches and 1,000 yards.

Arizona will have to throw like hell if they want to keep up with the Falcons (in the Dome) on Sunday.

O is for OUTSIDE CHANCE

The Bengals looked dead in the water last week, but with Sundays upset over the Giants, Cincys back in the mix.

Obviously, if they lose in Kansas City on Sunday, its over. But with a win, the Bengals will be 5-5, and their next four games (OAK, SD, DAL, PHI) all come against teams with a losing record. It won't be easy, but if anyone can lead the Bengals on an improbable run to the playoffs, Marvin Lewis can't.

P is for PACK BACK

Not that anyone counted out the Packers after their 2-3 start, but between the blown calls and the endless injuries, Green Bay certainly looked more vulnerable than they have in a few years. They'd fallen back into the pack.

And in many ways, they're still there, but with a win at home against the Lions on Sunday, the Packers will be suddenly 7-3, on a five-game winning streak with Clay Matthews, Charles Woodson and Greg Jennings all getting close to recovery. In Jennings' case, he should at least be healthy enough to film a few commercials.

Q is for QUICK QUIZ

With 138 yards against the Panthers on Sunday, Doug Martin will become only the fourth rookie in Bucs history to run for 1000 yards. Can you name the other three?

ANSWER: Erick Rhett, Cadillac Williams and LeGarrette Blount. (Warrick Dunn missed by 28 yards)
R is for ROOKIE RED MEAT

As much fun as it's been to watch RGIII this season, it's a shame we'll never get to see him play against the Redskins. That's because Washington has somehow managed to lose eight straight games to NFL rookies.

EIGHT.

It started with a loss to Vince Young and the Titans in 2006, then a loss Bruce Gradkowski, Trent Edwards, Joe Flacco, Matthew Stafford, Sam Bradford, Cam Newton and finally Christian Ponder. That's insane. I can just picture David Carr reading this list with a tear in his eye, wondering what could have been. Eight straight games?

Contract the Redskins!

Unless they beat rookie Nick Foles and the Eagles on Sunday.

S is for SUPERSTAR
There was a time when Danny Amendola seemed destined to end up on the Patriots. Back then, he was the next Wes Welker; a scrappy guy who would get lost in the number crunch and eventually find his way to Belichick. Or maybe that was just wishful thinking.

Either way, he's not going anywhere. He was too good, too fast, and there's no way the Rams will let him slip away.

Antonio Cromartie can expect at least one catch for every kid from Amendola on Sunday.

T is for TICKER

With everything I already said about the intensity surrounding Monday's BearNiners game, it's at least somewhat alarming that Jim Harbaugh was hospitalized this week for a heart procedure. Here's hoping that everything is OK.

Harbaugh's irregular enough as it is. His heart should stay out of it.

U is for UPSET SPECIAL

The Saints beat the Falcons last week to bring my Upset Special record to 3-3 on the season. Not bad, but not even close to good enough. This week, I'm going big with Chiefs over Bengals.

The Bengals season is on the line, so that should be all the motivation they need. But Kansas City's defense isn't that bad. The Chiefs crowd is angry, and can still make life hell for the opposition. And the Bengals are exactly the kind of inconsistent team that falls victim to this kind of upset.

Final score: Chiefs 27, Bengals 17

V is for VINTAGE CARSON

I give Carson Palmer a lot of crap every week, but there's just something about his mentality that rubs me the wrong way. Or at least helps explain why, despite all that talent, Palmer never quite made it over the hump.

Here he his on the challenges of trying to keep pace with the Saints of this Sunday:

"Being a quarterback you don't want to think that. You still want to go through your reads. Sometimes a sack is the best play, sometimes a punt is the best play. But you can't do it too many times against these guys. ... I don't let myself go into a game thinking we have to score on this drive, we have to score on this drive.' You get yourself in trouble and your team in trouble doing that. But I understand what we're up against. I understand that we have to keep up with these guys."

Again, I understand what he's saying. It's a very logical explanation. But it's so bland an emotionless. Without even an ounce of confidence. That's who you want leading the charge when your season's on the line?

W is for WHY CANT WE GET PLAYERS LIKE THAT

Last week, I talked about former Patriots cornerback Tony Carter, who's become a star this season in Denver, while the Pats secondary still looks rattier than Bill Belichick's favorite pair of sweatpants.

Carter responded to his Alphabet mention with a pick six against the Panthers.

Former Patriot Darius Butler had a pick six and two interceptions last Sunday against Jacksonville, and this week, will start for Indianapolis at Gillette.

At this point, it's hard for the Pats secondary to be anymore depressing than it already is, but if Darius Butler finds a way to pick off Tom Brady on Sunday, we're going to hit an all-time low.

X is for EXES, FUTURE EXES

You see that Hope Solo and Jerramy Stevens got married this week?

Take a look through the "Legal Troubles" section of Stevens' Wikipedia page (take special note of the entry from November 12, 2012) and then place your bets:

Overunder on length of marriage: 12 days

Y is for YOU DON'T SAY

Steelers cornerback Keenan Lewis really stepped up his trash talk this week, telling reporters that that . . . brace yourself . . . Torrey Smith is "No Mike Wallace." Ooh, harsh words.

Wonder where he stands on the Byron LeftwhichJoe Flacco debate?

Z is for ZIP IT
That's a wrap.

Enjoy the games.

Rich can be reached at rlevine@comcastsportsnet.com. Follow Rich on Twitter at http:twitter.comrich_levine

Brady-Ryan marks rare case of NFL's top two quarterbacks meeting in Super Bowl

Brady-Ryan marks rare case of NFL's top two quarterbacks meeting in Super Bowl

For all the flack that Matt Ryan got heading into this season, he’s been a damn good quarterback. Is his career on the same level as Tom Brady’s? Of course not, but this regular season saw him stand as Brady’s peer, making him an MVP favorite.

One of Ryan’s biggest challengers for that hardware is the same man who stands in the way of him winning his first Super Bowl. Though he missed the first four games of the season due to suspension, Brady finished second in the league in passing yards per game and threw just two picks in 12 games while tossing 28 touchdowns.  

So Super Bowl LI will pin the quarterback with the best numbers overall (Ryan finished two touchdowns behind Aaron Rodgers for the league lead but threw for 516 more yards and had a higher completion percentage) against the quarterback with the best touchdown/interception ratio ever for a single season. 

In other words, this is a Super Bowl that puts what one could argue are the season’s two best quarterbacks each other. That’s pretty rare. 

Going back the last 25 years, there are four candidates for such meetings: Manning vs. Brees in Super Bowl XLIV, Favre and Elway in Super Bowl XXXII (this one is a stretch), Favre and Bledsoe in Super Bowl XXXI and Kelly and Rypien in Super Bowl XXVI.. 

Why haven’t the two best quarterbacks squared off in the Super Bowl more often? Because Brady and Peyton Manning played their entire careers in the same conference, silly. It’s taken other players entering their echelon to even set up such a scenario, and that’s why Brees’ Saints beating Manning’s Colts serves as the only example during Manning or Brady’s career. 

The strong performances of those who dominated the regular season have often carried over into their Super Bowl meetings, but not always. Drew Bledsoe and Jim Kelly (both throwing two touchdowns and four picks in Super Bowl losses) are examples of the wheels falling off in the final game. 

Here’s a breakdown of past occurrences. Note that all four of them saw the winning team score at least 30 points, something the Pats have done just once in Brady's four Super Bowl wins: 

Super Bowl XLIV: Brees vs. Manning

Brees led NFL with 34 touchdowns in regular season; Manning finished tied for second with 33

Final score: Saints 31, Colts 17

Brees: 32/39, 288 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT
Manning: 31/45, 333 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT

Brees completed a postseason in which he had no turnovers and did so in a nearly exactly average game for him that season, as e averaged 292.5 yards, 2.26 touchdowns and less than one interception per game in the regular season. The two quarterbacks also combined for just one sack. 
 
Super Bowl XXXII: Favre vs. Elway

Favre led NFL with 35 TDs in regular season, Elway finished second in TD/interception ratio

Final score: Broncos 31, Packers 24

Favre: 25/42, 256 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, fumble lost 
Elway: 12/22, 123 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT

Again, this is the forced one because Jeff George (3,917 passing yards, 29 touchdowns, nine interceptions) had the better regular season than Elway (3,635 passing yards, 27 touchdowns, 11 picks). Elway may have been the winning quarterback, but he didn’t have anything to do with the win. Terrell Davis carried the Broncos, playing through a migraine and rushing for 157 yards with three touchdowns en route to Super Bowl MVP honors. 

Super Bowl XXXI: Favre vs. Bledsoe

Favre led NFL with 39 TDs, Bledsoe third with 27

Final Score: Packers 35, Patriots 21

Favre: 14/27, 246 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT
Bledsoe: 25/48, 253 yards, 2 TD, 4 INT

Both quarterbacks took five sacks in this game. For Bledsoe, it was the most he took all season. The game was the third four-pick performance of his NFL career. 

Super Bowl XXVI: Kelly vs. Rypien

Kelly led NFL with 33 TDs, Rypien second with 28

Final score: Redskins 37, Bills 24

Rypien: 18/33, 292 yards, 2 TD, INT
Kelly: 28/58, 275 yards, 2 TD, 4 INT, fumble lost

Turns out five turnovers (and being sacked four times) is not a recipe for winning the Super Bowl. Kelly’s 58 passes thrown set a Super Bowl record.
 

Dimitroff, Pioli the first Belichick defectors to lead new team to Super Bowl

Dimitroff, Pioli the first Belichick defectors to lead new team to Super Bowl

Working for the Patriots makes you attractive to other teams. Many have left, but Thomas Dimitroff and Scott Pioli are finally showing that major success can be attained in the process. 

Dimitroff and Pioli have built a team in Atlanta that will play for the franchise’s first Super Bowl title on Feb. 5. While many have been hired away from Bill Belichick's Patriots to lead other organizations, Dimitroff is the first of the defectors to get to the Super Bowl on his own. Adding an old friend in Pioli has played a part in that. 

Dimitroff served as New England’s director of college scouting from 2003 through 2007 before becoming Atlanta’s general manager in 2008. He hired Pioli in 2014 as an assistant GM after the longtime Patriots director and vice president of player personnel had a messy stint as the Chiefs’ GM. 

Executives and coaches (even Field Yates; yes, the fair-haired boy from the television) leaving the Patriots for better positions with other organizations has been common, but with the new positions have often come diminished success compared to New England. 

Romeo Crennel, Eric Mangini, Bill O’Brien, Charlie Weis (in his brief return to the NFL in 2010) and Josh McDaniels make up the list of coordinators who have left winning with the Patriots to experience a dropoff without Brady and Belichick. John Robinson (Titans), Jason Licht (Buccaneers) and Bob Quinn (Lions) currently serve as GMs elsewhere, while former Pats secondary coach Joe Collier works with Dimitroff and Pioli as the Falcons’ director of pro personnel. 

It’s only fitting that Dimitroff and Pioli will have to go through Belichick in order to secure a title on their own. Winning without Belichick has proven hard enough for his former colleagues; winning against him will be even harder.